In recent weeks, Bitcoin has seen a dramatic surge in its market price, breaking through the $99,500 mark on November 23, marking an all-time high. As of now, the cryptocurrency is trading at approximately $98,200. To provide context, this represents an increase of over 38% from just the beginning of the month, where the price stood at around $71,000. Comparing it to the start of the year, Bitcoin's valuation has skyrocketed by more than 139%, when it was priced at around $41,000. Since the inception of Bitcoin in 2008, the fluctuations in its price have consistently attracted the attention of investors, with 2023 demonstrating particularly remarkable price adjustments. Bitcoin's total market capitalization has reached an impressive $1.92 trillion, catapulting it ahead of silver and Saudi Aramco, securing its position as the seventh largest asset worldwide. The rising tide of Bitcoin has also boosted the stock prices of cryptocurrency-related companies, particularly in the US market. Notably, MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR), a company that holds a significant amount of Bitcoin valued at billions of dollars, has seen its market cap soar to $96.019 billion, reflecting a staggering increase of 115.67% in the past month. In Hong Kong's stock market, companies such as Boyaa Interactive (00434.HK), Meitu Inc. (01357.HK), and Lantern Tech (08267.HK), which are involved in cryptocurrency investment, have also benefited from the upward trajectory of Bitcoin. Much of the current excitement surrounding Bitcoin has been termed a part of the "Trump Trade." Former President Trump is perceived as a staunch supporter of cryptocurrencies, and his recent electoral victory has prompted a shift in the SEC's regulatory stance toward the crypto market. Analysts suggest that Trump's policies are likely to be more lenient, and upcoming announcements could include specific regulations that might influence the market, especially those pertaining to taxation, compliance, and market access. According to a partner at a Web3 fund, besides the burgeoning interest dubbed the "Trump Trade," other elements contributing to the current rise include the anticipated Bitcoin halving cycle, inflows resulting from Bitcoin ETF products, as well as geopolitical tensions and inflation driving demand for alternative currencies. Currently, many investors are actively seeking assets that could hedge against inflation. Bitcoin, with its capped supply of 21 million coins, is often seen as "digital gold," drawing in investors looking for a reliable store of value. When investor confidence in traditional assets wanes, cryptocurrencies present an appealing alternative that is worth considering. Larger institutional players with substantial funds and resources are now emerging as critical forces in the market. According to Coinbase's latest shareholder letter for Q3 2024, the trading volume of institutional investors reached a staggering $151 billion, representing 81.6% of the total trading volume, thus reinforcing their dominant presence. Earlier this year, the SEC approved Bitcoin spot ETFs, subsequently leading traditional financial firms such as BlackRock and Fidelity to introduce their own Bitcoin ETF products. Financial giants like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have rolled out Bitcoin-related investment products, while notable companies like Tesla and Square have incorporated Bitcoin into their balance sheets. The influx of traditional financial heavyweights and specialized asset management institutions is fuelling interest in Bitcoin investments. Industry insiders maintain that institutional investors are gradually evolving in their approach to Bitcoin—shifting from mere speculative trading aimed at price volatility to a long-term asset allocation strategy aimed at diversification and inflation hedging. The increasing Bitcoin price has also lured a surge of retail investors into the market, particularly following its breach of critical psychological price levels. As prices tick upward, more individual investors are drawn, eager to capitalize on the momentum. In the opinion of the aforementioned Web3 fund partner, assets characterized by rarity, income generation potential, and liquidity are key for any investor’s portfolio. Following this, one might consider prime real estate, U.S. Treasury bonds, and other alternatives. Assets like Bitcoin, gold, and even luxury items such as Moutai liquor exhibit traits of scarcity and high liquidity, making them suitable for inclusion as supplemental personal asset allocations. However, it is crucial to remain vigilant of the high risks associated with Bitcoin. On November 23, for instance, after reaching a peak, Bitcoin's price dipped below $97,000, pulling back more than $2,000 from its record high. Data from Coinglass indicates that during these dramatic fluctuations, over 127,000 traders faced liquidations in the volatile market. Investment experts urge potential Bitcoin investors to adopt sound risk management practices, carefully controlling their investment size and exposure to risk to avoid substantial losses from market volatility. Continuous learning and staying informed about the fundamentals of the digital currency market is considered vital for anyone looking to navigate this space effectively.
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